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Facebook brings losses. How to identify the bubble?

Facebook brings losses. How to identify the bubble?Edit

 
 
This article won't be about Facebook, but rather on the general term – when you earn the most. Facebook would be a perfect story for this purpose.

Facebook.com is a social international website which is, after Google – #2nd most visited website in the world (according to alexa.com). Facebook has about 600mln+ (user who log once a month) active users.

In 2012 facebook would enter the public financial market – stock would be available to buy (yes, I know – everything takes time). Currently it's theoretically buy stocks on sites like e.g. secondmarket.com (where current holders and organisations have the priority).

FACEBOOK would be the next "big" bubble company stock which would crash. It's "worth" (only in minds) 50 mld $ and it presumes to grow to 200 mld $.

When you see the fundings of facebook – it brings losses, despite the 800mln$ annum revenue (really?). In comparison to the costs it would bring losses and if you would track the information and company fundings: 1.5mld$ Goldman Sachs (major player in the previous sub-prime loan bubble), 500mln$ from an anonymous Russian billionaire.



Sharks earn when the "suckers" put money (term used in the financial arena, often means: "investors and ordinary people"). They then sell their stocks before the collapse or couple months faster. They've earned a lot of money by playing the financial game.

Then everybody realizes that what they thought and put faith into (because "facebook" – it's the best, it's NOT – FOCUS on what the numbers say). Stock market plays on faith, but the sad truth comes to play when the stock dumps to it's lowest point. It's the point when you make the most of money if you're smart enough and have money to invest.

I would repeat again: facebook brings losses. It's impossible to hold 600mln+ users (not page views – multiple it by thousands of page refreshes) without earning cash. Facebook didn't know how to capitalize this volume of traffic in 3 years from now on (6 totally). YouTube also brings losses, but Google can handle that.

I like facebook, but in financial terms – the site is a total catastrophe (currently). I think the only salvation is: build something like AdSense, but on the web (competition for Google, the main source of income; about 612$ / per second). It's a remarkable thing to build such site, but you see that popularity isn't exactly earnings, but you can do a lot of cash on it, through perceived value. You're only worth as much as others are willing to pay you. This sentence suits the facebook.

Website idea is the most important. Edit
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